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ECONOMIST FAULTS KWACHA FLOATATION

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The kwacha has been depreciating rapidly against the dollar
The kwacha has been depreciating rapidly against the dollar

Zomba-based economist Chinyamata Chipeta has faulted the floatation of the kwacha in 2012, saying the policy was adopted without proper research on the ground.
Chipeta, who is also executive director for Zomba-based Southern African Institute for Economic Research (Saier), has also cautioned the Peter Mutharika government against borrowing economic policies from the West ‘wholesome,’ arguing that not all external economic advice is in tandem with characteristics of the domestic economy.

 
“The devaluation was okay, but the floatation was wrong. You do not float a currency when you don’t have enough foreign exchange reserves and when donor aid is uncertain,” said Chipeta at the Malawi Institute of Management (MIM) in Lilongwe yesterday.
Chipeta, who conceived indigenous economics at Chancellor College, a constituent college of the University of Malawi, was speaking at a two-day national policy workshop designed to explore how Malawi can use indigenous knowledge in formulating appropriate policies for its economic development.

 
The meeting has drawn economic scholars and practitioners from across the country.
“Not all foreign advice is consistent with characteristics of the local economy,” said Chipeta, a professor in economics.
Former president Joyce Banda’s government, through the Reserve Bank of Malawi (RBM), devalued the local unit by a magnitude of 49 percent on May 7 in 2012 and also announced the subsequent liberalisation of the exchange rate regime as part of a package of its economic reform programme.

 
Since then, there has been pressure on the central bank to abandon floatation by economic commentators on account of ever-rising cost of living.
But RBM has remained adamant with its Governor Charles Chuka repeatedly saying the market-determined exchange rate is the best for Malawi.
Currently, the kwacha has sharply nose-dived, losing ground to the dollar from a value of K393 a few weeks ago to sell at K490 in some banks, raising fears of further rise in average prices of goods and services as importers pass on high costs of importing their goods to consumers.
But in his argument, Chipeta said floatation has left Malawi vulnerable to speculation; hence ,fuelling high inflation rates.
He said such a situation has made the Malawi economy uncompetitive on the international market and the situation would require further devaluations of the currency if it is to be corrected.

 
Chipeta said it was high time Malawi researched on indigenous economic knowledge and culture to design economic policies that will be well suited to respond to local factors.
“We need to develop a good understanding of our own history, culture and heritage to challenge Western stereotypes that portray Africa as inferior and the mzungu [white man] as the one who knows it all. Good knowledge of indigenous culture will give us pride and confidence and promote our African identity,” said Chipeta.

 
He said the workshop is in line with ideologies of the Pan African movement, which encourages African countries to design their policies based on customs, knowledge and culture.
Organised with funding from the Nairobi-based African Economic Research Consortium (Aerc), the workshop has drawn presenters such as RBM deputy Governor (Economic Services) Naomi Ngwira, University of Malawi deans Edge Kanyongolo, Patrick Kambewa, Sosten Chiotcha, Chiwoza Bandawe and also Malawi Economic Justice Network (Mejn) executive director Dalitso Kubalasa.

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4 Comments

  1. Firstly let me be as simple and emphatic as I can. The only correct
    economic policy that this country got right was to float the kwacha. Using managed
    float was the right thing to do not only to join the rest of the world but to
    really reflect the true economic position of this country. Fixing the kwacha
    hid a lot of inefficiencies. The seasonal (sinusoidal) nature of the Malawi
    economy has now been exposed. Fixing the currency gave false economics but
    technically it promoted external debt and worsen the current account deficit
    (CAD).

    It comes to me as a big surprise that Malawi professors are still
    advocating 70s monetary policies that have completely been discredited by the
    rest of the world. In 1970 the Bretton Wood system broke down and with it ended
    the “fixed currency” paradigm. Fixing the currency was the heart and soul of
    the IMF. These old fashioned policies that are completely baseless in stimulating
    an economic boom belong to the past. It seems our university infused our
    brightest with rotten theories that prevent them to effect positive change when
    they get in position of power maybe though using outdated text books. All I can
    see in the economic fundamentals are old pillars of now defunct economic tools
    and instruments that are holding this country back. For example, advocating
    fixed currency is so last year, advocating high interest rates is so last year
    and is holding back growth. Infant industries cannot survive to graduate to
    become corporations. Wrong strategies for combating inflation. Inflation
    targeting of 2% is the new approach that drives other monetary instruments to
    support that goal. 20% inflation is daylight robbery that must not be tolerated
    by any civilised society in the 21 century.

    The world has hoodwinked Africa and Malawi to think that it
    is economics that will spearhead growth and economic boom. There is nothing in
    Development Economics theory wise, principles or concepts that can pull Malawi
    out of its doldrums. To anchor national progress on economic theory is like
    entrusting the success of a national football team to reporters/commentators
    instead of boosting the professionalism of the players. Engineers must make
    things so that Accounts can cost them in order for Economists to comment on how
    things are going and forecast future trends. This might be seen as an
    oversimplification but the truth lies somewhere. When we say Malawi needs
    economic progress (instead of social progress), too simplistic minds just interpret
    that as we need economic theory to lead us…wrong. National competitiveness must
    be based on productivity boost through investment in industry. In turn that
    productivity will permeate all sectors of the economy including agriculture to
    boost output. Only industrial production output will eliminated this seasonal
    (sinusoidal) economic activity and currency depreciation and appreciation which
    “floating” has exposed…so do not shoot the messenger! Ceteris paribus 🙂

    1. @Thomas, I am impressed that there Malawians out there who think this way. I am a former student of CC (yes both Chancellor College and Chinyamata Chipeta), circa 1979. I must say, CC;s economics was already archaic and poor at that time. Its common sense that you cannot keep manufacturing fake exchange rates as was proved just before Bingu’s demise when the gap between official and blackmarket rates was at its extreme. Even banks then played around with how and who got forex, so why keep cheating?

  2. The alleged expert does not give any factual pros and cons for a fixed artificial exchange rate, but instead a promise of going back to national pride and culture. This while the entire country will sink even worse! A fixed rate leads to all sorts of misuse, rations and queing, as we all know very well. And the governmental well connected will always misuse the system to buy the dollars cheap and sell on the black market afterwards.

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