Analysis

The post election crisis in Zimbabwe: What’s to be done?

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 As with all elections since 2000, the 2023 harmonised elections have ended in dispute. Contrary to all previous elections, excepting 2008, these elections have resulted in dispute both internally and externally: Zimbabweans are clear that the elections were not free, fair or credible, and for the first time, African and other international observers are in agreement that the elections failed the test of best practice.

The one critical thing these elections hoped to achieve was no dispute and that the country could move on to resolving its economic problems and its international pariah status. As Joaquim Chissano expressed this, “The crisis in the country is having terrible consequences for the region as Zimbabwe lies at the heart of southern Africa.”

However, the problem remains. Not only is Zimbabwe itself in dispute with the Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC) rejecting the election, but also Zimbabwean civil society and a huge section of the citizenry, but there are signs that there is growing dispute within Sadc itself over both the elections and what to do about it.

This outcome was entirely predictable as we pointed out eight months ago, suggesting that Zimbabwe has reached a Lancaster House moment. The improbability that any election in the context of a securocrat State would resolve the Zimbabwe crisis is a point that we have made repeatedly since 2016: not even the coup and the belief that there was a New Dispensation has changed this reality. The same point was made more recently.

Dealing with the fallout of this is election cannot lead to a simple binary position: accept it or reject it. The stakes for the country and the region are far too high, which was the primary motivation for the Arrears Clearance and Debt Relief Process, and the decision to address the three main stumbling blocks to international re-engagement and economic stabi l i ty – economy, Governance, and land (property rights). It would seem probable that the strategy is now sunk – certainly arrested – by the major failure in governance that the election has demonstrated.

Furthermore, this cannot be a situation that is pre-empted by Zimbabwe nor can the spirit of Sadc, reflected in the Organ of Politics, Defence, and Security be ignored. The Sadc report established that there is a crisis in Zimbabwe.

It was in recognition of all of this that the Platform for Concerned Citizens (PCC) launched a petition in the aftermath of the election. We do not pretend that the process and the indicators proposed in the petition are the only solution, but we are certain that continued polarisation within Zimbabwe, and the possibility of polarisation within Sadc, will continue in the absence of a substantive dialogue.

—Ibbo Mandaza and Tony Reeler are Co-Conveners of the Platform for Concerned Citizens (PCC).

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