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AfDB flags finance risks to development agenda

Malawi faces growing pressure to secure alternative development financing as declining donor support, mounting debt distress and macroeconomic instability threaten its development priorities, the African Development Bank (AfDB) has said.

In its October 2026 Malawi Economic Update, AfDB says an underdeveloped domestic capital market and difficulties to attract foreign direct investments are deepening financing gaps amid climate-induced food insecurity and fiscal pressures.

Reads the bank’s update in part: “Building an integrated financial system for cross-border flows and affordable financing requires macroeconomic stability through fiscal consolidation, debt restructuring and higher foreign exchange reserves.”

The bank has since identified financial sector reforms, interoperable digital payment systems, improved public investment management and stronger State-owned enterprises as critical to mobilising private capital while initiatives such as the European Commission and Kulima Access to Finance project have mobilised over $165 million (about K289 billion) in blended finance to support women and the youth.

Nyirongo: It will require strong political will. | Nation

In an interview on Wednesday, Scotland-based Malawian economist Veli Nyirongo said Malawi will continue to struggle to bridge the financing gap through domestic resources alone given its current economic structure and challenges.

“This will require strong political will, sound economic policies and effective governance to ensure resources are used efficiently to support structural transformation,” he said.

Minister of Finance, Economic Planning and Decentralisation Joseph Mwanamvekha said in an interview that government will continue to  strengthen domestic revenue mobilisation through tax-base expansion, improved compliance and modernised tax administration while protecting low-income households and productive sectors.

In the update, AfDB has also called for broader tax bases, modernised tax administration and improved access to formal financial services alongside stronger risk management to help Malawi reduce its reliance on traditional donor aid.

The bank estimates that Malawi requires an additional $3.3 billion (about K5.8 trillion) annually to close its development financing gap by 2030, equivalent to about 58 percent of the K10.9 trillion 2026/27 National Budget.

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