My take on short-termism
Recently, the Malawi University of Business and Applied Sciences (Mubas) School of Business and Economic Sciences in Blantyre hosted a two-day research dissemination conference on harnessing sustainable prosperity.
The conference brought together business leaders, academics, researchers, students, policymakers and ordinary citizens to reflect on Malawi’s economic trajectory and the role of industry in sustainable growth.
The keynote address and panel discussions tackled a persistent yet damaging challenge facing the country’s business sector—short-termism, the excessive focus by corporate, financial and political decision-makers on immediate or short-run outcomes.
The quick gains include quarterly earnings or annual performance targets that come at the expense of long-term value creation, sustainability and strategic investment.
This phenomenon is often driven by pressure to meet market expectations and maintain short-term profitability.
This undermines investment in research, sustainable development, long-term competitiveness, environmental protection and social risks.
While quick gains may appear rational within highly competitive markets, its cumulative effects on the economy are deeply damaging to the economy. Sustainable business operations cannot be divorced from national development priorities. For meaningful and inclusive economic growth in Malawi, long term business strategies must align with the country’s long-term development framework.
The Malawi 2063 vision articulates a pathway towards an inclusively wealthy and self-reliant nation, with medium and short term implementation plans embedded within it.
However, implementation by the public sector has been significantly underwhelming.
In July 2024, the National Planning Commission (NPC) reported that progress on the first 10-year Malawi 2063 Implementation Plan (MIP-1) stood at 43 percent. The plan envisions Malawi becoming a middle-income economy by 2030.
This underperformance reflects deeper structural challenges in the economy.
Malawi’s economy has been severely constrained by multiple shocks and systemic weaknesses. These include recurrent climate-related disasters, a high public debt burden, misalignment between national budgets and MIP-1 priorities and a slow implementation of catalytic interventions by the public sector.
Currently, projections indicate that MIP-1 could lag by as much as 15 years unless the economy grows at an average rate of 10.6 percent annually by 2030. This target is highly ambitious given the 2025/26 growth estimates of two to 3.8 percent.
The private sector, particularly the financial sector, has compounded the problem by chasing short-term profits instead of acting as an engine of long-term growth.
Banking institutions have recorded exceptionally high profits largely by investing in low-risk government securities. This crowds out private sector credit as government domestic borrowing absorbs financial resources that could support productive investment.
Sustainable economic growth is historically driven by a vibrant private sector, but Malawi’s struggles to play this role due to the government’s heavy reliance on domestic borrowing and the lack of long term, risk sharing investment frameworks.
If left unchecked, the current trajectory points toward prolonged stagnation and missed development targets.
This calls for correctional action.
First, government must realign fiscal policy and public investment towards the Malawi 2063 priorities while gradually reducing its dependence on domestic borrowing that stifles private sector investment.
Secondly, the private sector must move beyond short-term growth objectives and adopt long-term strategic planning of 10 to 20 years.
Investment decisions should prioritise productivity, innovation, resilience and sustainability over instant financial returns alone.
Sustainable prosperity can only be achieved through a coordinated approach in which public and private sector strategies are mutually reinforcing.
Finding a middle ground where government returns to the Malawi 2063 growth path without suffocating private enterprise is imperative.
A win-win situation where industry actively supports national development objectives is not optional.
The short-term syndrome remains one of the most significant barriers to Malawi’s sustainable economic transformation. Without a shift in mindset from both policymakers and business leaders, the promise of Malawi 2063 will remain elusive.
Sustainable prosperity must be built on long term vision, disciplined implementation, and shared responsibility. The time to confront short- termism and its costly consequences is now.